Category: Publications

Thoughts on Hybrid Flirtation and Hybrid Alliance

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Oleksiy Volovych The hybrid Russian-Israeli flirtation (or rather, the flirtation between Putin and Netanyahu) is perceived with great irritation in Damascus, Tehran and Ankara. Against this background, the coalition RF — TR — IRI looks hybrid, unstable, contradictory, and therefore — transient. It seems that in the political sense, for the Russian leadership, relations with Israel are more important than with Iran and Turkey.     The article is available in Ukrainian

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Latin America. Analytical Review 01/2019

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Kateryna Vakarchuk The Political and Economic Situation in January 2019   The beginning of 2019 has been quite tense for the Latin American region. If nothing else, it has brought changes that would be relevant to some presidents and governments. In particular, those changes will not miss Venezuela. The aggravation of the long-standing intra-political crisis, which has gone beyond the borders of this country, draws attention of powerful global players, in particular the United States, Russia, and China (see more details in our article “Aggravation of the Crisis in Venezuela. The Internal Dynamics and External Influences”). The year 2019 will not be ordinary for Latin American countries, among…

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The Middle East and North Africa. Analytical Review 01/2019

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The Military-Political and Economic Situation in January 2019   Oleksiy Volovych In January 2019, the military-political situation in the Middle East and North Africa remained tense. The review focuses on the Middle Eastern tour of US Secretary of State M. Pompeo, as well as some of the most characteristic events and processes in ten countries, such as Syria, Algeria, Tunisia, Egypt, Sudan, Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Yemen. This time, we at last got to Arab countries such as Algeria, Tunisia, Sudan, which had not been in our reviews because of their limited format and a large number of countries in the region — about…

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Aggravation of the Crisis in Venezuela

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The Internal Dynamics and External Influences   Kateryna Vakarchuk For the political leadership of Venezuela, led by President Nicolas Maduro, the beginning of 2019 can be considered inevitable, life-changing and to some extent fatal. All the world’s media keep writing about the events that are happening there, although they had little interest in the past. What happened there? And why do we, in Ukraine, often mention that distant Latin American country, where our geopolitical interests are not represented at the proper level? Venezuelan events have fallen into the top news of the whole world and remain the main topic for major newsmakers. To date, there are many more questions about those…

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The 2019 Elections to the European Parliament: Trends and Risks

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Roman Kot Elections to the European Parliament (EP) are scheduled for May 23–26, 2019. Given the wide range of its powers in the budgetary sphere and in the common foreign and security policy, the European Parliament is one of the key bodies in the context of Ukraine’s cooperation with the European Union. On the balance of forces within the newly formed ruling Grand Coalition, will largely depend the EU’s policy not only in supporting Ukraine, but also in containing Russia, in particular the maintenance and build-up of anti-Russian sanctions. Therefore, here is our preliminary analysis of the trends in the…

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US Intervention in Venezuela Is Possible Only If There Is a Threat to American Citizens

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Expert of the “Borysfen Intel” Center Kateryna Vakarchuk on the Ukrainian Radio   US military intervention in Venezuela is possible only if there is a threat to American citizens. This is on the Ukrainian Radio in the program “Today. In the Afternoon”, said Associate Professor of the Department of International Relations of the Faculty of International Relations, Political Science and Sociology of the Mechnikov National University of Odesa, expert of the “Borysfen Intel” Center Kateryna Vakarchuk. “The military intervention will only be possible if American diplomats are being harmed or there is a threat to US citizens in Venezuela, although most of them have already left. Therefore,…

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New Threats to Central Asia

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Vadym Volokhov In the spring of 2019, we should expect aggravation of the military-political situation on the Tajik-Afghan border, in Tajikistan and in the South-East of Uzbekistan. It is unlikely that the fighting of the ISIS and the Tajik opposition will become large-scale one, since both Tajikistan and Uzbekistan are members of the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization” and of the “Collective Security Treaty Organization”, and the charts of these organizations provide for “strengthening peace, international and regional security, collective defense of independence, territorial integrity and sovereignty of member states”. The potential of member countries is relatively higher than that…

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US Missile Defense Plans

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Problems and Consequences for the World   Victor Hvozd In mid-January 2019 President of the United States D. Trump unveiled the Missile Defense Review. The document defines the main threats to the United States’ security in the missile and nuclear sphere, as well as the plans for further development of US and NATO missile defense systems. The Review is fully in line with Washington’s vision of the need to strengthen the defense of the United States and its allies in the conditions of the proliferation of nuclear missile technologies in the world and their reaching a qualitatively new level. This was the reason for the USA’s withdrawal…

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Ukrainian Intelligence. A look at the war

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Victor Hvozd in the CIVILIZATION program on the Ukrainian Media Network   January 22, 2019, President of the “Borysfen Intel” Independent Analytical Center for Geopolitical Studies Victor Hvozd participated in the CIVILIZATION geopolitical program on the Ukrainian Media Network. There was a discussion on the theme of the war, the Russian threat and the return of the Donbas. The hosts of the programme — journalist Danylo Yanevskyi and expert on international security Yevhen Zherebetskyi.   Watch the program (in Ukrainian):

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Donald Trump’s “Equator”

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The Beginning of the US Election Campaign and Its Consequences   Victor Hvozd January 2019 marks exactly two years since D. Trump’s official becoming US President. In fact, this is the “equator” of his presidential term, which is usually the peak of the activities of the Master of the White House and the start of preparations for the new election (scheduled for 2020). However, unlike most other US Presidents, D. Trump’s “equator” coincided with a significant complication of the political situation in the United States, which is turning into a rigid confrontation between the two branches of power in the country. An example of this was the so-called “shutdown” — D. Trump’s next…

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