Category: Russia/CIS

Will NATO Be Able to Restrain Russia?

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Western Experts’ Conclusions and Suggestions     Victor Hvozd In the face of Russia’s aggressive foreign policy, the question of the USA and NATO’s ability to hold back its expansion is quite important. This refers, first of all, to the Russian military sphere, which is considered the source of the most critical threats to the world and European security, as well as directly to Ukraine’s one. The situation in this sphere was assessed (October, 2019), in particular, by the RAND Corporation in the report “Trends in Russia’s Armed Forces. An Overview of Budgets and Capabilities”. The document provides a comparative analysis of the military capabilities of Russia and the…

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Over The Abyss

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Nuclear Confrontation in the World and the Place of Ukraine   Victor Hvozd Although the United States and Russia are ready to make some changes to their positions towards improvement, they are, in military terms, in a state of confrontation. Moreover, lately this confrontation has been reaching a new level. This concerns, first and foremost, the active expansion of their preparations for a possible nuclear war. Besides, the has been reshaping. The process began after relations between the West and Russia escalated as a result of Russian aggression against Ukraine, when both sides, in fact, followed the Cold War escalation between…

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“Center-2019” SCPE

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Objectives, Scenario, Participants and Peculiarities of the exercise   Ivan Sichen   The role and place of “Center-2019” SCPE in the system of strategic exercises of the Russian Armed Forces The main result of the operational and combat training of the Russian Armed Forces for the year is the “West”, “Caucasus”, “Center”, and “East” Strategic Command and Post Exercises (SCPE), which are held in turn in each of the four military districts of the RF Armed Forces. Exercise scenarios are based on simulations of different variants of war and armed conflict between Russia and its adversaries, the main of which are: US/NATO — on North-Western (Baltic) and South-Western (Black Sea)…

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Economy in Exchange for Sovereignty

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Should We Stake On Russia?   Victor Hvozd Despite the clear constitutional definition of Ukraine’s external course, the election campaign in our country again gave relevance to this issue. Thus, despite Russia’s continuation of its armed aggression against Ukraine, a number of Ukrainian political forces openly advocate restoration of relations with the aggressor without any commitments on its part. In support of this, the arguments are put forward about “positive effects” of such a step, which supposedly would contribute to the development of the Ukrainian economy and increase the standard of living…

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Returning Russia’s Rights in the PACE

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A Catastrophe or a Warning for Ukraine?   Since 2014, the support of our state by Western countries and international organizations in the confrontation with Russia is critically important for Ukraine. First of all, this concerns the USA, the EU and NATO’s actions to contain the aggressive policy of Moscow through sanctions and increasing of military presence in Europe, as well as financial, economic and military technical assistance to Ukraine. In general, our Western partners’ attitude to Russia’s aggression against Ukraine remains unchanged. But lately, some European countries have been making attempts to reach agreement with Moscow, including at the expense of certain concessions in its favor.…

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Protests in Georgia. And Lessons for Ukraine

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Victor Hvozd In Georgia, like in Moldova, Moscow is rehearsing technologies of influence on post-Soviet countries   This year, a series of sharp political crises and conflicts resumed in a number of post-Soviet countries. For example, in May–June 2019, this was observed in Moldova, which barely escalated into mass disorder. Today, the same situation arose in Georgia. At this, there is a lot in common in Moldovan and Georgian events caused by internal problems provoked by Russia. Thus, the protest in Georgia arose because of the Russian State Duma deputy from the Communist Party of Russia, the President of the Inter-Parliamentary Assembly on Orthodoxy S. Gavrilov’s statement in the Georgian Parliament. The…

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Russia’s Policy in Libya After 2011

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Russia’s Rivalry with the West Is Clearly Visible in Libya   Oleksiy Volovych Despite all the adventurous attempts by the Kremlin to get a foothold in Libya and make that country “pro-Russian”, this will hardly happen in the foreseeable future, as the economic opportunities of the current Russia and its geopolitical weight are much weaker compared to the capabilities of the USSR. On the other hand, Libya is currently the object of geopolitical interests of such influential states as the US, France, Italy, the KSA, the OAE, Qatar and Turkey, with which Russia cannot compete due to its limited financial resources. The…

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Russia Relying on Eurasia as a Basis of Power

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Geopolitical Trends   Serhiy Polovyk Leading European analysts and experts are thoroughly analyzing the materials of the recent summit of the EU, which completed its work in Brussels. If nothing else, the summit discussed the future of the European Union after the Brexit, consolidation in counteracting China’s “soft power” on the European continent, problems and threats from the total spread of digital technologies and the degree of their influence on the configuration of internal and interstate relations, security policy and methods of counteracting cybercrime, etc. The authoritative Swiss periodical, the Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ),…

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Trends and Directions in the Development of the Current Political Regime in Russia

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At the initiative of the NGO “Centre for Russian Studies”, on April 5, at the Diplomatic Academy under the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine, was held an International Round Table themed “The Current Political Regime in Russia: Quo vadis?” The invited to this event international analysts, representatives of the diplomatic corps in Ukraine and experts of the Centre analyzed the most threatening for the security of Europe trends of domestic political development of the Russian Federation. They characterized the current political regime of Russia and forecasted the trends of its possible development. The Round Table…

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Ukraine, Syria and Venezuela

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The Multipolar World as a Source of Crises and Conflicts   Victor Hvozd The objective consequence of the formation of a new multipolar world is the growing problem of relations between different centers of power. Today, the sharpest of these are the contradictions between the West (the USA and Europe) and Russia, which are turning into another “Cold War”. At this, like the previous “Cold War” between the Western and Eastern blocs, it is accompanied by armed conflicts in the centers of intersection of interests of the world leading powers.   Ukraine Ukraine has become the object of a…

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