Putin’s Russia faces the same path that Nazi Germany and the communist Soviet Union had taken
Ivan Sichen
In February 2014, Moscow came to Ukraine with war. First to Crimea, and then to the Donbas. And who would have thought then, especially in Russia itself, that eight years later this war will return to Russia’s territory. However, this is how most “blitzkriegs” end, especially when they are started by all sorts of morons like Hitler, Stalin or Putin. The development of today’s situation confirms the rule. That is why Putin’s Russia faces the same path that Nazi Germany and the communist Soviet Union had taken. Let’s look at these issues in more detail.
Of course, the current situation in Russia is still far not only from the Second World War, but also from the consequences of Putin’s attack on Ukraine. There are no mass bombings of Russian cities yet, and large-scale hostilities are not yet taking place on Russian territory. Nevertheless, the war is already on the threshold of the Russian Federation and has even literally crossed it. In Russia’s regions bordering Ukraine, is happening something similar to the situation on the front line. The fact that this problem was created by Russia itself, does not make it easier for the locals. Nor for the entire population of all of Russia, which is increasingly suffering from the Russia’s war against Ukraine.
Serves them right! Just look at the publications of the Russian media about the “Ukrainian nationalists’ offensive” on the city of Kursk. Or remember the no less revealing hysteria of the Russian media about the “Ukrainian special forces’ preparation of terrorist attacks” in Kursk, Belgorod, Voronezh and Rostov regions of the Russian Federation. In particular, there was a warning recently about the possibility of such provocations at the Kursk nuclear power plant, which is located literally near the Russian-Ukrainian border – fifty kilometers from it. And this is not a “hypothetical” threat. Given the Russian troops’ capture and looting of the Chernobyl and Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plants, there is nothing incredible about this development.
Especially when Russian provocateurs are already systematically shelling their own border checkpoints, pretending to be Ukrainians. In addition, the facts of artillery fire by Russian troops on settlements in Russia from the occupied territories of Ukraine were recorded.
However, the most illustrative situation is in the city of Belgorod, which, in fact, is the starting point of the Russian offensive on Kharkiv and the Donbas. It is there that Russian provocations are particularly large-scaled. Recall the detonation of an ammunition depot on March 29, 2022, and the helicopter bombing of an oil depot on the outskirts of the city on April 1, 2022.
Such provocations have a single purpose, namely to justify Russia’s war against Ukraine, as well as to increase the motivation of Russians to serve in the army and participate in hostilities on Ukrainian territory. At this, Russian “screenwriters” do not care at all that Russia’s own population suffers from such provocations.
The same applies to the people of Belarus, about whom Russia cares even less. In particular, in March 2022, Russian aircrafts fired a missile and conducted a bomb strike at two Belarusian villages bordering Ukraine. With a well-known and clear goal to all – to involve Belarus in the war against Ukraine. And Moscow really managed to do it, or rather – to spread the war to Belarusian territory.
But then, even without such provocations, the Russian population is already beginning to suffer losses from the actions of the Russian army. An example of this was the fall of a Russian missile on a house in one of the villages in Rostov region in early April 2022. And this is not an accident. Back in 2015, during the bombing of Syria by Russian strategic aviation from the Caspian Sea region, about a third of the missiles fell on the territory of Iran.
However, whatever the reasons for these events, they have already forced the Russian authorities to introduce a system of civil defense in Russia’s regions neighboring Ukraine. And on the border of Belgorod region, engineering barriers are being erected. As a result, panic among the local population is becoming even more widespread. In particular, in the context of systematic hacker attacks on the electronic media of Russian cities bordering Ukraine, including calls for immediate evacuation.
Besides, there is already a real partisan “rail” war. In this regard, the Belgorod members of the anti-Putin movement are worthy followers of the Belarusian partisans, who in March 2022 paralyzed the railway movement of Russian troops in their country.
However, these events are not yet a real war in Russia, but it may begin in the near future. As noted above, Russia will inevitably repeat the path of the former Soviet Union with all the problems that arose after its collapse. Armed conflicts in the country included. Especially since reasons for them have not disappeared.
This is especially true of the North Caucasus, which is Russia’s most problematic region. If nothing else, look at Chechnya, which remains loyal to Russia only because of its money, and in fact – a tribute that Moscow is forced to pay R. Kadyrov and his gang. And when the Putin regime fails to pay it due to its own financial problems, Kadyrov will immediately abandon him and find another patron. In particular, one of the Islamic monarchs from the Middle East or the Persian Gulf. In addition, he will take with him some new territories, which will inevitably mean another war in the North Caucasus. It is not for nothing that Moscow is sending Kadyrov’s fighters to certain death in Ukraine. And this is again understandable. How else can the Kremlin get rid of Kadyrov and his militants, and with them – of the threats from them.
But then, even if Russia manages to do so, it is unlikely to be able to resolve all the conflicts in the North Caucasus. Apart from Chechnya, problematic are Ingushetia, North Ossetia, Dagestan and Kabardino-Balkaria, which have their own ambitions and mutual claims. And while earlier the conflicts in the region were contained by the Southern Military District, now most of the District’s forces have been destroyed in fruitless battles in Ukraine.
The same awaits the Volga region so far belonging to Russia, where Islamism and separatism are even more widespread than in the North Caucasus. Until recently, such sentiments were severely suppressed by Moscow with the troops of Central Military District. But now they, like all other Russian troops, have met their deaths in the war on Ukrainian territory.
However, the separation of the North Caucasus and the Volga region is only part of what Russia will face. A real “Armageddon” for it could be an attack by China, which sleeps and sees how to regain control of its “northern territories”. And those are no more and no less, but the entire inhabited territory of the Russian Federation – from the Urals to the Far East.
At this, China does not need to make special efforts to achieve its goals. All it has to do is go in and secure all the territories mentioned above. And the Russian army, again, will not be able to prevent this. Like the troops of the Southern and Central Military Districts, units and forces of the Eastern Military District have already been destroyed in Ukraine.
Marines of the Russian Pacific Fleet also died in Ukraine. And how now Moscow will be able to hold in its hands the island of Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands, which it “squeezed” from Japan at the end of World War II. Russia’s failure to defend its Far Eastern borders was demonstrated by a failed attempt to hold a military exercise in the region in March 2022. They simply did not have enough forces, except for a few ships, which had to demonstrate the “military power” of the Russian Federation.
Moscow won’t be helped by its CSTO allies, who are in a very difficult situation themselves, and their armies can only fight local opposition forces at best. Belarus’ refusal to be directly involved in Russia’s war against Ukraine was a clear confirmation. And the Armenian leadership has even invited foreign military attachés to its air base to deny Yerevan’s transfer of combat aircrafts to the Russian Federation. As for Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, they are out of the question. All their forces are thrown to protect their southern borders from the threat of Islamic extremists from Afghanistan. Russian military bases in Central Asia with all their personnel, which Moscow did not dare to send to Ukraine, are also involved in this.
And at the end of the article, we would like to mention another problem of Russia. These are anti-Russian sanctions by the United States, the European Union and their partners. Back in early March 2022, V. Putin called them “a declaration of war on the Russian Federation”. And in April 2022, this fact was acknowledged by Russian Prime Minister M. Mishustin, who called Russia’s current situation “the most difficult in the last thirty years”.
