Category: Victor Hvozd’s Geopolitical Diary

Returning Russia’s Rights in the PACE

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A Catastrophe or a Warning for Ukraine?   Since 2014, the support of our state by Western countries and international organizations in the confrontation with Russia is critically important for Ukraine. First of all, this concerns the USA, the EU and NATO’s actions to contain the aggressive policy of Moscow through sanctions and increasing of military presence in Europe, as well as financial, economic and military technical assistance to Ukraine. In general, our Western partners’ attitude to Russia’s aggression against Ukraine remains unchanged. But lately, some European countries have been making attempts to reach agreement with Moscow, including at the expense of certain concessions in its favor.…

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Protests in Georgia. And Lessons for Ukraine

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Victor Hvozd In Georgia, like in Moldova, Moscow is rehearsing technologies of influence on post-Soviet countries   This year, a series of sharp political crises and conflicts resumed in a number of post-Soviet countries. For example, in May–June 2019, this was observed in Moldova, which barely escalated into mass disorder. Today, the same situation arose in Georgia. At this, there is a lot in common in Moldovan and Georgian events caused by internal problems provoked by Russia. Thus, the protest in Georgia arose because of the Russian State Duma deputy from the Communist Party of Russia, the President of the Inter-Parliamentary Assembly on Orthodoxy S. Gavrilov’s statement in the Georgian Parliament. The…

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Political Crisis in Moldova

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Victor Hvozd Reasons and Consequences for Ukraine   Due to both, internal problems in that country and external influence on it, since 1991 Moldova has been the permanent source of instability on the southwestern border of Ukraine. The reason for such problems is the profound differences within the Moldovan society on the political and national grounds, which are used for their own purposes by political and economic forces of the country and other states having their interests in the region. Since Moldova’s becoming an independent country and to date, its…

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St. Petersburg Economic Forum – 2019

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Victor Hvozd Will Russia’s Hopes for China Come True?   The leadership of the Russian Federation continues to take active steps to expand the circle of its foreign partners, which seeks to compensate for the USA and EU’s political and economic sanctions. In this regard, importance is attached to holding various international events to demonstrate the RF’s “attractiveness” and benefits of cooperation with it in the trade, economic, investment and other spheres. In particular, last week, the 23rd St. Petersburg International Economic Forum – 2019 – one of the most…

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What Should We do Next?

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Suggestions for Action Strategy   Victor Hvozd Taking into consideration national interests, the main tasks of our state at the current historical stage are to restore its territorial integrity and to practically realize the European choice. As the positions of the new Ukrainian leadership show, these tasks are immutable and of a priority nature. In fact, this is the first case in our newest history, when the change of power has not caused radical changes in Ukraine’s foreign policy, transforming it into a true European state. Thus, despite any transformations of power in the “old” and “new” Europe, which are sometimes accompanied by severe political battles, its countries stick to European civilization values. At the…

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Ukraine, Syria and Venezuela

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The Multipolar World as a Source of Crises and Conflicts   Victor Hvozd The objective consequence of the formation of a new multipolar world is the growing problem of relations between different centers of power. Today, the sharpest of these are the contradictions between the West (the USA and Europe) and Russia, which are turning into another “Cold War”. At this, like the previous “Cold War” between the Western and Eastern blocs, it is accompanied by armed conflicts in the centers of intersection of interests of the world leading powers.   Ukraine Ukraine has become the object of a…

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Five Years of the Annexation of the Crimea

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Consequences for the World, Russia and Ukraine   Victor Hvozd March 18, 2014, an agreement was signed in the Kremlin on the “accession” of the Crimea and Sevastopol to Russia, which became the official date of their annexation. Since then, every anniversary of this event has traditionally attracted attention to the Crimean problem in Ukraine, Russia, and throughout the world. As it should have been expected, in March 2019, the world’s reaction to this issue was very wide, and in covering it, media emphasized the so-called five-year jubilee of the Russian annexation of the Peninsula. For example, the problem of Russia’s annexation of the Crimea was…

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The PRC’s Economic Problems

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Reasons and Consequences for the World and Ukraine   Victor Hvozd Despite the growing disagreements between the leading powers of the world in the new multipolar system of international relations, they maintain significant interdependence in the economic sphere. At the same time, they also have a significant impact on the overall economic situation in the world, which is the result of the deepening processes of world globalization. To date, one of the main subjects of such influence is China, which is the second after the United States in the world by its economic potential, and even leaves it behind by a number of indicators. Thus, according to the…

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The Indian-Pakistani Conflict

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A War Between Nuclear Powers and Its Consequences for the World   Victor Hvozd One of the notable consequences of the formation of a new multipolar world, taking place in recent years, is the actual violation of the whole system of international relations, which was formed after the end of the “Cold War”. In this regard, the most dangerous is the loss of effectiveness of nuclear arms control agreements, concluded between the USA and the USSR, and then — Russia. As we have already pointed out, the reason for that was the obtaining of such weapons by countries that are not…

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The New World and Ukraine

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Results of the Munich Security Conference   Victor Hvozd The conference in Munich, which is held in mid-February of each year with the participation of the top world leaders, politicians and experts, is traditionally considered the main international forum in the sphere of the world security. The aim of the event is to determine key trends in the development of the situation in the world, as well as to find the ways to address common challenges, risks and threats to global and regional security. Thus, the main idea of this year’s 55th Munich Conference was statement of…

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