Category: Analytics

Venezuelan Crisis: Will the USA Choose a Military Solution to the Problem?

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Expert of the “Borysfen Intel” Centre Kateryna Vakarchuk on the Ukrainian Radio   President of Venezuela Nicolas Maduro’s decision to block the delivery of humanitarian aid from the EU and US could lead to the part of the army siding with the opposition. This is what on the Ukrainian Radio in the program “Today. Morning” was said by the Associate Professor of the Department of International Relations of the Faculty of International Relations, Political Science and Sociology of the Mechnikov National University of Odesa, expert of the “Borysfen Intel” Centre Kateryna Vakarchuk. “I think that tomorrow everything will begin…

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The New World and Ukraine

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Results of the Munich Security Conference   Victor Hvozd The conference in Munich, which is held in mid-February of each year with the participation of the top world leaders, politicians and experts, is traditionally considered the main international forum in the sphere of the world security. The aim of the event is to determine key trends in the development of the situation in the world, as well as to find the ways to address common challenges, risks and threats to global and regional security. Thus, the main idea of this year’s 55th Munich Conference was statement of…

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Thoughts on Hybrid Flirtation and Hybrid Alliance

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Oleksiy Volovych The hybrid Russian-Israeli flirtation (or rather, the flirtation between Putin and Netanyahu) is perceived with great irritation in Damascus, Tehran and Ankara. Against this background, the coalition RF — TR — IRI looks hybrid, unstable, contradictory, and therefore — transient. It seems that in the political sense, for the Russian leadership, relations with Israel are more important than with Iran and Turkey.     The article is available in Ukrainian

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The Failure of the Missile Treaty. What’s Next?

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February 2, 2019, the USA has officially suspended the fulfillment of its obligations under the INF Treaty   Victor Hvozd At the pages of our “Borysfen Intel” Center’s website, we have already assessed the situation around the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty). However, the further development of events in this sphere requires a return to the touched upon theme. Moreover, it has become the subject of all sorts of political speculations. For example, February 2, 2019, the USA has officially suspended the fulfillment of its obligations under the INF Treaty. The reason for this was called “Moscow’s systematic continued noncompliance with the Treaty, while Washington…

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Aggravation of the Crisis in Venezuela

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The Internal Dynamics and External Influences   Kateryna Vakarchuk For the political leadership of Venezuela, led by President Nicolas Maduro, the beginning of 2019 can be considered inevitable, life-changing and to some extent fatal. All the world’s media keep writing about the events that are happening there, although they had little interest in the past. What happened there? And why do we, in Ukraine, often mention that distant Latin American country, where our geopolitical interests are not represented at the proper level? Venezuelan events have fallen into the top news of the whole world and remain the main topic for major newsmakers. To date, there are many more questions about those…

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The 2019 Elections to the European Parliament: Trends and Risks

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Roman Kot Elections to the European Parliament (EP) are scheduled for May 23–26, 2019. Given the wide range of its powers in the budgetary sphere and in the common foreign and security policy, the European Parliament is one of the key bodies in the context of Ukraine’s cooperation with the European Union. On the balance of forces within the newly formed ruling Grand Coalition, will largely depend the EU’s policy not only in supporting Ukraine, but also in containing Russia, in particular the maintenance and build-up of anti-Russian sanctions. Therefore, here is our preliminary analysis of the trends in the…

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“Ukraine Is a Geopolitical Center Where Many Interests Cross…”

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Victor Hvozd in the “Military Cabinet” of the studio of the Black Sea TV and Radio Company   The President of the “Borysfen Intel” Center, Victor Hvozd, invited to the “Military Cabinet” program of the Black Sea TV and Radio Company, was answering the host Oleksandr Yankovskyi‘s questions on the important (and not only today) for Ukraine theme — the professional activity of its intelligence agencies. As an experienced professional in the intelligence, who in his time managed to lead two intelligence agencies of independent Ukraine — the Military Intelligence and the Foreign Intelligence Service — V. Hvozd shared with the audience the vision of the modern process of defense reform and defense policy…

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US Intervention in Venezuela Is Possible Only If There Is a Threat to American Citizens

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Expert of the “Borysfen Intel” Center Kateryna Vakarchuk on the Ukrainian Radio   US military intervention in Venezuela is possible only if there is a threat to American citizens. This is on the Ukrainian Radio in the program “Today. In the Afternoon”, said Associate Professor of the Department of International Relations of the Faculty of International Relations, Political Science and Sociology of the Mechnikov National University of Odesa, expert of the “Borysfen Intel” Center Kateryna Vakarchuk. “The military intervention will only be possible if American diplomats are being harmed or there is a threat to US citizens in Venezuela, although most of them have already left. Therefore,…

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The Formation of a New World and the Crisis of Globalization

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Results of the World Economic Forum in Davos   Victor Hvozd Since the beginning of the 2010s, the main trend in the development of the geopolitical situation in the world has been the formation of a new multi-polar model of international relations. Thus, the USA’s sole leadership is being replaced by a new complex and dynamic system with several centers of power of the world and regional level. To date, the main ones are China, the United Europe, Russia, Japan, India, Brazil, South Africa and a number of other countries.…

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New Threats to Central Asia

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Vadym Volokhov In the spring of 2019, we should expect aggravation of the military-political situation on the Tajik-Afghan border, in Tajikistan and in the South-East of Uzbekistan. It is unlikely that the fighting of the ISIS and the Tajik opposition will become large-scale one, since both Tajikistan and Uzbekistan are members of the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization” and of the “Collective Security Treaty Organization”, and the charts of these organizations provide for “strengthening peace, international and regional security, collective defense of independence, territorial integrity and sovereignty of member states”. The potential of member countries is relatively higher than that…

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