Category: Analytics

Iran — US: A New Cycle of the Crisis in the Middle East

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Today, the main question is important: when and how will the opposing parties cross the “red line”?   Vadym Volokhov Washington decided to deploy the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group, as stated on 5th May by the US National Security Advisor John Bolton. In his view, Tehran should receive this “clear and unmistakable message” if it did not fully understand the White House’s decision on “oil sanctions” against Iran. John Bolton, in particular, pointed out that the United States was not seeking war with the Iranian regime, but was fully prepared to respond to any attack, whether by proxy, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or regular Iranian forces. It…

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Peculiarities of the Region of East Asia, As One of the Centers of World Power

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Global and Regional Dimensions and Influence on the Interests of Ukraine   Olha Ratkovych, Bratislava Today, the region of East Asia has such peculiarities as strengthening of China’s role, unresolved territorial demarcation, the desire to eliminate interstate conflict situations through diplomatic negotiations, without the use of armed forces. Also, the countries of the region are participants of the ASEAN, the World Trade Organization, and China is a permanent member of the UN Security Council and cooperates (as well as Japan) in the International Monetary Fund. It should also be noted that the states of East Asia are among the leaders who own and develop…

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Contrary to the Trend: Summing up Parliamentary Elections in Spain

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Will the Anti-Russian Consensus Survive in the Spanish Establishment?   Roman Kot The dynamics of political processes in the EU countries after the migration crisis is accompanied by tectonic changes, which gradually, but inevitably, bring about the coming to power of the right-wing populist forces. This is manifested, in particular, in the fall in the ratings of traditional centre-right, and, especially, centre-left parties. At the same time, the forces that dragged on this electorate have not yet gained enough popularity (with the exception of the Italian ones) to form a majority and a government. All of this often leads…

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The Crimea on the Chessboard of Geopolitics — the Crimean Evening

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President of “Borysfen Intel” Victor Hvozd on the Radio “Crimea. Realities”   How has the world system changed five years after the annexation of the Crimea? Should we expect a global war because of the confrontation in Ukraine? How long can the occupation of the Peninsula last? And what should Ukrainian government do in order not to lose the Crimea forever? These topics are being discussed in the studio of the Radio “Crimea.Realities” in the talk show “The Crimean Evening” by radio host Serhiy Hromenko, and a Ukrainian military, ex-head of the Foreign Intelligence Service…

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Authority of Austria’s Intelligence — In Ambiguo

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The Role and Risks of the Activities of National Intelligence Services of the EU Countries in Achieving Political Goals   Serhiy Polyovyk The scandal caused by the Austrian intelligence services remains front and centre in the mind of European analysts in security, defense and special services of the EU. It broke into the open when European counterparts put forward reasonable suspicions against the Office for the Protection of the Constitution and Counterterrorism (BVT) because of Austria’s over-loyalty to Russia. These suspicions are also confirmed by links between the right-wing radical parliamentary Freedom Party…

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Aggravation of the Crisis in Sudan

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Roman Kot April 11, 2019, a military coup took place in Sudan, during which Omar al-Bashir, the country’s President, was removed from his post. Besides, the Sudanese military disbanded the Cabinet and the Parliament of the country — the National Assembly, and also announced a three-month state of emergency to be followed by a two-year transitional period. Also, state Sudanese media reported that all political prisoners, including the leaders of the protests taking place in the country, were released from prison. This is the end of the thirtieth year of Omar al-Bashir’s staying in power…

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Cooperation of Intelligence Services

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Austrian Intelligence Feels Isolated at the International Level   Serhiy Polyovyk The popular German periodical, weekly Der Spiegel, on the 1st of April 2019 published an editorial with reference to mfh/dpa about Germany’s being concerned with the development of right-wing extremist tendencies in Austria. The question is: is it advisable to continue to co-operate with some representatives of the Austrian government, who share extremist and nationalistic views? To the earlier concerns about Austrian policy, are added the European partners’ fears regarding the neighbouring Austria’s special services’ excessive dependence on Russia. In the European…

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Prospects for the Development of the Situation in Sudan

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Sudan and the Interests of the United States, the PRC and the RF   Oleksiy Volovych On April 11, 2019, a military coup took place in Sudan. The Command of Sudan’s Armed Forces arrested and removed from all posts the country’s President, Omar al-Bashir (75 years old), who came to power in 1989 after a military coup. Thus, O. al-Bashir, left his post in the same way as he came to it — as a result of a military coup. It is already the eighth military coup after the declaration of Sudan’s independence on January 1, 1956. All in all, between 1952…

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Russia Relying on Eurasia as a Basis of Power

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Geopolitical Trends   Serhiy Polovyk Leading European analysts and experts are thoroughly analyzing the materials of the recent summit of the EU, which completed its work in Brussels. If nothing else, the summit discussed the future of the European Union after the Brexit, consolidation in counteracting China’s “soft power” on the European continent, problems and threats from the total spread of digital technologies and the degree of their influence on the configuration of internal and interstate relations, security policy and methods of counteracting cybercrime, etc. The authoritative Swiss periodical, the Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ),…

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Trends and Directions in the Development of the Current Political Regime in Russia

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At the initiative of the NGO “Centre for Russian Studies”, on April 5, at the Diplomatic Academy under the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine, was held an International Round Table themed “The Current Political Regime in Russia: Quo vadis?” The invited to this event international analysts, representatives of the diplomatic corps in Ukraine and experts of the Centre analyzed the most threatening for the security of Europe trends of domestic political development of the Russian Federation. They characterized the current political regime of Russia and forecasted the trends of its possible development. The Round Table…

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